Is It Alpha Yet?

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Viral trading-bot claims, tested honestly: real prices, real fees, no peeking. So far none has passed.

The share card: “Is it alpha yet? No.” beside a chart of how a $1,000 backtest becomes $296 million with every cheat on, $84,000 without peeking, and $22,000 after real fees, against $19,000 for just holding

About the project

The site opens as one more winning-bot pitch: an AI trading bot that turned $1,000 into $296 million. Every number on it is real, made by the project's code from real Bitcoin prices. Then it takes the number apart one cheat at a time: peeking at tomorrow's price, fantasy fees, a strategy picked in hindsight, and luck that looks like skill.

Each claim gets its own page with the evidence. The rules were written down and hashed before any backtest ran, every attempt is logged and counted, and a strategy has to beat simply holding on years it never saw, after real fees.

The best crypto strategy tried only matched holding Bitcoin, and lost to it on unseen years. An open-source AI trading agent called the market right 16 times out of 34, where a fair coin managed 20. A live test scores weekly AI calls and a paper trade as they happen, so the backtests can't fool anyone.

Everything is reproducible from the repo, from downloading the prices to rendering the site.